Probets extend lead in Besttipping Challenge

2023-06-30

After a jittery May, Probets returned to form in June with an eleven-winner bonanza. For much of the month Probets boasted a better than 50% strike-rate, but losers on the final three days reduced that to a still impressive 45%.

The overall return of 18.2 points was the best return by any tipster since Daily Bargain’s 23-point return last October.

There were also celebrations in the Personal Info camp as the Mainline and Saturday Only services both posted 3.7-point yields, but Daily Bargain’s May revival faltered badly; a loss of six points leaves the reigning champion more than 68 points adrift of stablemate Probets in the 2023 Besttipping challenge.

Probets began June in style running up a sequence of five wins from the first nine advices. Coronation Cup heroine, Emily Upjohn, started the procession, winning at 3/1 (Epsom, 2 June). Prosperous Voyage (7/4) followed suit the next day, also at Epsom, and Quoi De Neuf (100/30, 4 June) made it three from three when winning over fences at Fakenham. The sensational start to the month continued with 9/4 shots, Halifax (Ffos Las 8 June) and Lil Guff (Bath, 9 June) boosting the profits.

After a five-day break, Probets resumed in similar vein with Juan Les Pins (3/1, Nottingham, 15 June), Kihavah (4/1, York, 17 June) and Dukeman (5/4, Salisbury, 18 June) all scoring. At this point, Probets’ strike-rate was more than 61% (eight winners from 14) and the month’s profit was secure.

A winless six-day run saw the profit drop below ten points, but Silver Sword (5/1, Pontefract, 25 June), Lequinto (100/30, Windsor, 26 June) and Let Her Loose (2/1, Brighton 27 June) ensured that the month ended as it had begun, with a flurry of wins.

Probets return on investment (ROI) in June was 76% and the average starting price for all selections came out at a fraction over 7/2. These are impressive figures, in line with those achieved during the service’s glory days between January and July last year.

Personal Info bettered Probets by registering an ROI of 87% on all June bets. Was it significant that for the first time in recent memory Personal Info eschewed Royal Ascot, a meeting that has provided plenty of winners in the past? If so, the decision paid off as big priced winners littered the five-day meeting. (By the way, neither Daily Bargain nor Probets had any success during the five days, despite both going into the meeting with nice profits.)  

Once again, the two Personal Info services operated as one and bets were even more selective than usual. But there can be no complaints as all three wagers produced winners including the hero of the greatest race of all, the Derby. Auguste Rodin was a 5/1 advice (Epsom, 3 June) while fourth placed Sprewell (14/1) also secured each-way money. The following Saturday 4/1 advice Bombay Bazaar was successful at Beverley and the month finished with the Ayr success of Jehangeer (11/10, 24 June).

Like Probets, the two Personal Info services have posted profits in five of the year’s six months to date. Daily Bargain, however, have managed just two profitable returns so far this year.

June’s six-point loss was a disappointing end to a month that promised much more; Youthful King was successful at Windsor on 5 June at 10/1, and Diamond Bay’s 7/1 win at York (16 June) meant that going into the last two weeks of the month, Daily Bargain were matching Probets.

But then the wheels fell of the truck. A sequence of 14 straight losers saw the hard-fought profit disappear and a nasty loss of six points emerge in its stead.

The good news for followers of Daily Bargain is that, on the evidence of last year, there is still time to turns things round; at the corresponding point in 2022, Probets had an 80-point lead and that increased to more than 111 points after another losing month for Daily Bargain. Then, however, results swung Daily Bargain’s way. More than 100-points were secured in the last third of the year, while Probets leaked more than forty points, giving Daily Bargain a wide margin victory.

So, Daily Bargain can still come good, even if July’s results fail to show an improvement. But come August, the clock starts ticking. Of course, if Probets continue to hammer out the profits, success will almost certainly go their way.